Archive for October 2013

Get Me Toniblir!



Tony.
Tony Blair is a controversial figure in most countries around the world. His legacy in the eyes of many is the zealotry with which he supported President Bush Jr.’s adventure in Iraq, unleashing a human catastrophe that history books probably won’t look too kindly upon.

There are a few countries where the history books might be written with a more positive spin; one is, you might have guessed it, Albania. Blair remains a very popular figure amongst Albanians for his role in protecting ethnic Albanians in Kosovo by orchestrating the NATO bombing of Yugoslavia in 1999. There are apparently numerous children in Albania’s capital, Tirana, called Toniblir.

It would seem appropriate then that Blair has been hired (free of charge) by the Albanian government to help advise it on EU accession strategy and lobby European officials and politicians on its behalf. EU accession is a policy priority of the recently elected, modernising, centre-left government of former basketball player Edi Rama. This month, the European Commission recommended that Albania be given the green light to open EU membership talks.
Blair explains how large his fee would normally be.

In the words of Rama himself: “Our party is very much inspired by and connected to the vision and way of thinking about things of New Labour and Tony Blair”. This, I would suggest, is more of a reference to Blair’s brand of third-way politics than an underlying hunger to affect regime change in faraway lands. 

EU enlargement policy is not what it was however. The conditionality dial has been turned up to max and a pervasive skepticism pervades the subject that is in sharp contrast to the feel good ‘return to Europe’ riff of 10 years ago. Albania is going to need all the help they can get. 

Blair is nevertheless a busy man with, at last count, 467 other clients’ needs to attend to. Not to mention his role as UN Middle East peace envoy. He does however have an excellent track record on promoting EU enlargement. As UK Prime Minister he exerted maximum British influence to drive enlargement through amid the skepticism and caution of other member states, such as France. Other times it was semi-accidental. One anecdote goes like this: on a visit to the Romanian Parliament in 1999, Blair was advised by his diplomatic advisors to offer Romania something in return for their strong support in the Kosovo intervention; Blair stands up at the podium and, off the cuff, announces Britain’s support for Romanian accession to the EU – turning British policy on its head in a sentence. This speech is credited as being a crucial moment in Romania’s road to accession in 2007.
Blair shares wisdom.

Like a hitman brought back from retirement to do one last job, Mr. Rama might be hoping that Mr. Blair can pull off a coup and land Albania a seat at the table in Brussels. Unfortunately for Edi, Tony’s stock in Brussels isn’t what it used to be. A large part of Europe’s political establishment consider Blair a war criminal for his role in the invasion of Iraq 2003, a key reason for his failed attempt to land the job of EU Council President. 

Good luck Toni!
Sunday, October 27, 2013
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